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Politics Markets
17 markets
SECTOR ANALYSIS
Politics
-58.8% net convictionvs 24 hours
AVG YES PROB
21.2%
market consensus tilt
MARKET CAP
$4.03M
combined volume
TURNOVER
100.00%
24h / total volume
LIQUIDITY
$9.11M
depth across markets
Kairon AI IntelligenceBearish
“Politics consensus is defensive — 13 of 17 markets are pricing rejection. $4.03M in 24h flow suggests money is leaning out of the optimistic side. Watch contrarian entries on "Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican p…", "Will United Russia (ER) gain the most se…", "Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French …".”
Trending Intelligence
Live17 markets1 articles
MARKETS17
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds
Vol $112K/24hLiq $277KYES 54%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
high-velocity 24h activity · YES at 74%
Vol $911K/24hLiq $499KYES 74%+BULLISH
MARKET
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100% · 5d to resolution
Vol $149K/24hLiq $121KYES 0%-BEARISH
MARKET
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 78%
Vol $100K/24hLiq $263KYES 22%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%
Vol $279K/24hLiq $418KYES 0%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 99%
Vol $100K/24hLiq $145KYES 99%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 98%
Vol $147K/24hLiq $210KYES 2%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%
Vol $98K/24hLiq $312KYES 0%+BULLISH
MARKET
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 80%
Vol $88K/24hLiq $96KYES 20%-BEARISH
MARKET
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%
Vol $158K/24hLiq $1.3MYES 0%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 89%
Vol $150K/24hLiq $873KYES 89%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%
Vol $286K/24hLiq $191KYES 0%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%
Vol $92K/24hLiq $225KYES 0%-BEARISH
MARKET
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%
Vol $948K/24hLiq $1.3MYES 0%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%
Vol $205K/24hLiq $906KYES 0%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 99%
Vol $75K/24hLiq $192KYES 1%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%
Vol $128K/24hLiq $1.8MYES 0%+BULLISH
MARKET
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