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Kairon · 2026 · Not affiliated with Polymarketkairon.trade

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All Politics Crypto Sports Economy AI / Tech Geopolitics Finance Entertainment Health Games NBA NFL MLB Soccer UFC F1 Tennis Golf Hot New YES >70%NO >70%Others Past Markets

Geopolitics Markets

87 markets

SECTOR ANALYSIS

Geopolitics

-66.7% net convictionvs 24 hours

AVG YES PROB

19.7%

market consensus tilt

MARKET CAP

$33.36M

combined volume

TURNOVER

100.00%

24h / total volume

LIQUIDITY

$82.83M

depth across markets

Kairon AI IntelligenceBearish

“Geopolitics consensus is defensive — 67 of 87 markets are pricing rejection. $33.36M in 24h flow suggests money is leaning out of the optimistic side. Watch contrarian entries on "Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?…", "Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World C…", "Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state i…".”

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87 markets0 articles

MARKETS87

Will France win on 2026-07-18?

high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · resolves imminently

Vol $959K/24hLiq $2.2MYES 50%+BULLISH

France vs. England: O/U 3.5

high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · resolves imminently · elevated market uncertainty

Vol $315K/24hLiq $619KYES 46%~VOLATILE

Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?

high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · 3d to resolution

Vol $439K/24hLiq $4.2MYES 43%+BULLISH

Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5

high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · 3d to resolution · elevated market uncertainty

Vol $444K/24hLiq $416KYES 43%~VOLATILE

Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

high-velocity 24h activity · NO leads at 61% · resolves imminently

Vol $536K/24hLiq $84KYES 39%-BEARISH

Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

high-velocity 24h activity · NO leads at 41% · 3d to resolution

Vol $911K/24hLiq $5.5MYES 59%+BULLISH

France vs. England: Team to Win

high-velocity 24h activity · YES at 64% · resolves imminently

Vol $832K/24hLiq $640KYES 64%+BULLISH

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

high-velocity 24h activity · YES at 67% · resolves imminently

Vol $275K/24hLiq $222KYES 67%+BULLISH

France vs. England: O/U 2.5

high-velocity 24h activity · YES at 68% · resolves imminently

Vol $217K/24hLiq $556KYES 68%+BULLISH

France vs. England: Both Teams to Score

high-velocity 24h activity · YES at 69% · resolves imminently

Vol $149K/24hLiq $237KYES 69%+BULLISH

Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys

high-velocity 24h activity · YES at 67% · 6d to resolution

Vol $1.1M/24hLiq $59KYES 67%+BULLISH

Will France vs. England end in a draw?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO leads at 74% · resolves imminently

Vol $265K/24hLiq $2.3MYES 26%-BEARISH

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO leads at 73% · 3d to resolution

Vol $531K/24hLiq $3.9MYES 27%+BULLISH

Will England win on 2026-07-18?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 75% · resolves imminently

Vol $350K/24hLiq $2.1MYES 25%+BULLISH

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 79% · 3d to resolution

Vol $270K/24hLiq $221KYES 21%-BEARISH

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

high-velocity 24h activity · NO leads at 68% · resolves imminently

Vol $158K/24hLiq $99KYES 32%-BEARISH

Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 90% · 3d to resolution

Vol $265K/24hLiq $1.7MYES 10%-BEARISH

Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 92% · resolves imminently

Vol $124K/24hLiq $1.7MYES 8%-BEARISH

Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 93% · resolves imminently

Vol $192K/24hLiq $2.3MYES 7%-BEARISH

France vs. England: O/U 6.5

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 94% · resolves imminently

Vol $202K/24hLiq $323KYES 6%-BEARISH

Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 93% · 3d to resolution

Vol $282K/24hLiq $1.6MYES 7%-BEARISH

Exact Score: France 3 - 0 England?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 95% · resolves imminently

Vol $142K/24hLiq $204KYES 5%-BEARISH

Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 94% · 3d to resolution

Vol $144K/24hLiq $1.7MYES 6%-BEARISH

Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 96% · resolves imminently

Vol $176K/24hLiq $153KYES 4%-BEARISH

Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 96% · resolves imminently

Vol $372K/24hLiq $404KYES 4%-BEARISH

Exact Score: France 2 - 3 England?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 97% · resolves imminently

Vol $212K/24hLiq $167KYES 3%-BEARISH

Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 97% · resolves imminently

Vol $310K/24hLiq $234KYES 3%-BEARISH

Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winner

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100% · resolves imminently

Vol $153K/24hLiq $662KYES 0%-BEARISH

Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 97% · 3d to resolution

Vol $301K/24hLiq $382KYES 3%-BEARISH

Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 97% · 3d to resolution

Vol $2.8M/24hLiq $495KYES 3%-BEARISH

Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 98% · 3d to resolution

Vol $230K/24hLiq $146KYES 2%-BEARISH

Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 98% · 3d to resolution

Vol $462K/24hLiq $470KYES 2%-BEARISH

Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 99% · 3d to resolution

Vol $624K/24hLiq $165KYES 1%-BEARISH

ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealand

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100% · 7d to resolution

Vol $174K/24hLiq $81KYES 0%-BEARISH

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 95% · resolves imminently

Vol $126K/24hLiq $89KYES 5%-BEARISH

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 17?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100% · resolves imminently

Vol $151K/24hLiq $48KYES 0%-BEARISH

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 75% · resolves imminently

Vol $129K/24hLiq $20KYES 25%-BEARISH

Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO leads at 70%

Vol $298K/24hLiq $344KYES 30%+BULLISH

Will Cal Raleigh win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 99%

Vol $558K/24hLiq $14KYES 1%+BULLISH

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

high-velocity 24h activity · YES at 60% · 3d to resolution

Vol $438K/24hLiq $670KYES 60%+BULLISH

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO leads at 60% · 3d to resolution

Vol $222K/24hLiq $481KYES 40%-BEARISH

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · 3d to resolution

Vol $1.4M/24hLiq $8.9MYES 58%+BULLISH

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO leads at 59% · 3d to resolution

Vol $2.6M/24hLiq $9.0MYES 41%+BULLISH

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 90% · 4d to resolution

Vol $176K/24hLiq $532KYES 90%+BULLISH

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 98% · 4d to resolution

Vol $154K/24hLiq $44KYES 2%+BULLISH

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO leads at 72%

Vol $168K/24hLiq $28KYES 28%-BEARISH

World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?

high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 100% · 3d to resolution

Vol $422K/24hLiq $164KYES 100%+BULLISH

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 98% · resolves imminently

Vol $194K/24hLiq $141KYES 2%-BEARISH

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 80%

Vol $151K/24hLiq $45KYES 20%-BEARISH

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 86%

Vol $154K/24hLiq $52KYES 14%-BEARISH

Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 98% · 4d to resolution

Vol $148K/24hLiq $61KYES 2%+BULLISH

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO leads at 66%

Vol $524K/24hLiq $87KYES 34%-BEARISH

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 89%

Vol $140K/24hLiq $76KYES 11%-BEARISH

Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100% · 3d to resolution

Vol $204K/24hLiq $119KYES 0%-BEARISH

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 99% · 3d to resolution

Vol $151K/24hLiq $204KYES 1%-BEARISH

Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 98%

Vol $121K/24hLiq $148KYES 2%+BULLISH

Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?

high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 93%

Vol $125K/24hLiq $57KYES 93%+BULLISH

Trump out as President by July 31?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%

Vol $164K/24hLiq $166KYES 0%-BEARISH

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 96%

Vol $452K/24hLiq $664KYES 96%+BULLISH

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 96%

Vol $326K/24hLiq $458KYES 4%-BEARISH

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%

Vol $564K/24hLiq $941KYES 0%-BEARISH

Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 98%

Vol $134K/24hLiq $210KYES 2%+BULLISH

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%

Vol $486K/24hLiq $768KYES 0%-BEARISH

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%

Vol $248K/24hLiq $2.1MYES 0%-BEARISH

Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 99%

Vol $121K/24hLiq $149KYES 1%+BULLISH

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 99%

Vol $396K/24hLiq $755KYES 1%-BEARISH

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 83%

Vol $122K/24hLiq $277KYES 17%+BULLISH

Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%

Vol $1.4M/24hLiq $54KYES 0%-BEARISH

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 80%

Vol $183K/24hLiq $80KYES 80%+BULLISH

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 77%

Vol $600K/24hLiq $773KYES 23%-BEARISH

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 98%

Vol $426K/24hLiq $215KYES 2%-BEARISH

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%

Vol $165K/24hLiq $68KYES 0%-BEARISH

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 97%

Vol $221K/24hLiq $182KYES 3%-BEARISH

Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%

Vol $287K/24hLiq $516KYES 0%+BULLISH

Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%

Vol $196K/24hLiq $522KYES 0%+BULLISH

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 98%

Vol $125K/24hLiq $298KYES 2%-BEARISH

Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%

Vol $153K/24hLiq $491KYES 0%+BULLISH

Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%

Vol $346K/24hLiq $52KYES 0%-BEARISH

Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%

Vol $178K/24hLiq $511KYES 0%+BULLISH

Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%

Vol $159K/24hLiq $504KYES 0%+BULLISH

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%

Vol $517K/24hLiq $1.7MYES 0%+BULLISH

Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%

Vol $445K/24hLiq $1.8MYES 0%+BULLISH

Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%

Vol $340K/24hLiq $2.0MYES 0%+BULLISH

Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%

Vol $388K/24hLiq $2.7MYES 0%+BULLISH

Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%

Vol $340K/24hLiq $2.6MYES 0%+BULLISH

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%

Vol $130K/24hLiq $1.5MYES 0%+BULLISH

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%

Vol $171K/24hLiq $2.2MYES 0%+BULLISH

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