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Geopolitics Markets
58 markets
SECTOR ANALYSIS
Geopolitics
-39.7% net convictionvs 24 hours
AVG YES PROB
30.5%
market consensus tilt
MARKET CAP
$14.24M
combined volume
TURNOVER
100.00%
24h / total volume
LIQUIDITY
$18.01M
depth across markets
Kairon AI IntelligenceBearish
“Geopolitics consensus is defensive — 33 of 58 markets are pricing rejection. $14.24M in 24h flow suggests money is leaning out of the optimistic side. Watch contrarian entries on "New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins…", "Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican p…", "Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law i…".”
Trending Intelligence
Live58 markets0 articles
MARKETS58
CA Mineiro vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5
high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · resolves imminently · elevated market uncertainty
Vol $79K/24hLiq $76KYES 49%~VOLATILE
MARKET
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5
high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · resolves imminently · elevated market uncertainty
Vol $102K/24hLiq $196KYES 46%~VOLATILE
MARKET
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · 8d to resolution · elevated market uncertainty
Vol $192K/24hLiq $585KYES 51%~VOLATILE
MARKET
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · 8d to resolution · elevated market uncertainty
Vol $242K/24hLiq $459KYES 54%~VOLATILE
MARKET
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins
high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · 7d to resolution · elevated market uncertainty
Vol $1.4M/24hLiq $70KYES 56%~VOLATILE
MARKET
Valencia: Guiomar Maristany vs Marina Bassols Ribera
high-velocity 24h activity · YES at 60% · 7d to resolution
Vol $293K/24hLiq $5KYES 60%+BULLISH
MARKET
Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros
high-velocity 24h activity · NO leads at 60% · 8d to resolution
Vol $226K/24hLiq $481KYES 40%-BEARISH
MARKET
Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend
high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · 7d to resolution
Vol $115K/24hLiq $213KYES 51%+BULLISH
MARKET
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals
high-velocity 24h activity · YES at 65% · 8d to resolution
Vol $92K/24hLiq $478KYES 65%+BULLISH
MARKET
Sao Paulo Open: Vendula Valdmannova vs Laura Pigossi
high-velocity 24h activity · NO leads at 60% · 5d to resolution
Vol $86K/24hLiq $188KYES 40%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-17?
high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · resolves imminently
Vol $87K/24hLiq $100KYES 55%+BULLISH
MARKET
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Team Nemesis (BO5) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs
high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 90% · resolves imminently
Vol $164K/24hLiq $31KYES 90%+BULLISH
MARKET
Rennes: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Ugo Blanchet
high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 80% · 7d to resolution
Vol $100K/24hLiq $138KYES 80%+BULLISH
MARKET
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Team Nemesis - Map 3 Winner
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100% · resolves imminently
Vol $101K/24hLiq $173KYES 0%-BEARISH
MARKET
Sao Paulo Open: Darja Semenistaja vs Teodora Kostovic
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 97% · 7d to resolution
Vol $156K/24hLiq $79KYES 3%+BULLISH
MARKET
Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 97% · 7d to resolution
Vol $435K/24hLiq $71KYES 3%-BEARISH
MARKET
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September?
high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · elevated market uncertainty
Vol $71K/24hLiq $42KYES 50%~VOLATILE
MARKET
Portland State vs. Oregon
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100% · 3d to resolution
Vol $200K/24hLiq $120KYES 0%-BEARISH
MARKET
Szczecin: Laslo Djere vs Luka Mikrut
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100% · 7d to resolution
Vol $414K/24hLiq $234KYES 0%-BEARISH
MARKET
Guadalajara Open Akron: Magdalena Frech vs Caroline Dolehide
high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 100% · 7d to resolution
Vol $150K/24hLiq $183KYES 100%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17?
high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 99% · resolves imminently
Vol $92K/24hLiq $50KYES 99%+BULLISH
MARKET
LoL: 9z Globant vs Fuego (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Americas Qualifier Playoffs
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 91% · resolves imminently
Vol $85K/24hLiq $64KYES 9%-BEARISH
MARKET
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · elevated market uncertainty
Vol $796K/24hLiq $289KYES 53%~VOLATILE
MARKET
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
high-velocity 24h activity · YES at 64%
Vol $97K/24hLiq $41KYES 64%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · elevated market uncertainty
Vol $641K/24hLiq $233KYES 46%~VOLATILE
MARKET
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds
Vol $112K/24hLiq $277KYES 54%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 88%
Vol $74K/24hLiq $18KYES 12%-BEARISH
MARKET
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
high-velocity 24h activity · YES at 74%
Vol $911K/24hLiq $499KYES 74%+BULLISH
MARKET
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100% · 5d to resolution
Vol $149K/24hLiq $121KYES 0%-BEARISH
MARKET
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 78%
Vol $100K/24hLiq $263KYES 22%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 99%
Vol $255K/24hLiq $258KYES 1%-BEARISH
MARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 91%
Vol $139K/24hLiq $80KYES 91%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%
Vol $263K/24hLiq $299KYES 0%-BEARISH
MARKET
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%
Vol $279K/24hLiq $418KYES 0%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 99%
Vol $100K/24hLiq $145KYES 99%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 98%
Vol $147K/24hLiq $210KYES 2%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 99%
Vol $346K/24hLiq $254KYES 1%-BEARISH
MARKET
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%
Vol $98K/24hLiq $312KYES 0%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 77%
Vol $74K/24hLiq $21KYES 77%+BULLISH
MARKET
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 80%
Vol $88K/24hLiq $96KYES 20%-BEARISH
MARKET
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 99%
Vol $202K/24hLiq $262KYES 1%-BEARISH
MARKET
US recession by end of 2026?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 88%
Vol $168K/24hLiq $78KYES 12%-BEARISH
MARKET
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%
Vol $158K/24hLiq $1.3MYES 0%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 83%
Vol $222K/24hLiq $651KYES 17%-BEARISH
MARKET
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 89%
Vol $150K/24hLiq $873KYES 89%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 92%
Vol $367K/24hLiq $223KYES 8%-BEARISH
MARKET
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 93%
Vol $932K/24hLiq $386KYES 7%-BEARISH
MARKET
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 93%
Vol $112K/24hLiq $473KYES 7%-BEARISH
MARKET
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 95%
Vol $84K/24hLiq $196KYES 5%-BEARISH
MARKET
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 95%
Vol $76K/24hLiq $537KYES 5%-BEARISH
MARKET
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 98%
Vol $94K/24hLiq $152KYES 2%-BEARISH
MARKET
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%
Vol $286K/24hLiq $191KYES 0%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%
Vol $92K/24hLiq $225KYES 0%-BEARISH
MARKET
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%
Vol $948K/24hLiq $1.3MYES 0%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%
Vol $205K/24hLiq $906KYES 0%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%
Vol $431K/24hLiq $422KYES 0%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 99%
Vol $75K/24hLiq $192KYES 1%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%
Vol $128K/24hLiq $1.8MYES 0%+BULLISH
MARKET
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